Published on Mar 24, 2016
Putin wonders why Kerry was carrying his own luggage upon his arrival to Moscow, joking that perhaps the state secretary has brought 'money to haggle with.' Kerry promises to show what's hidden in the case during private talks, telling Putin he will be 'pleasantly surprised.'
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/us/elections/primary-calendar-and-results.html?_r=0
What Happened In The March 15 Primaries (five thirty eight)
A Move To Winner-Take-All Is Helping Trump Crush It
Consider this: Up until today, Trump had won 42 percent of all GOP delegates with just 34 percent of the vote. By my estimate tonight, it appears he’s on track to win about 67 percent of the delegates at stake, even though he’s averaged only a hair over 40 percent of today’s votes. That’s a huge disparity. The reason: Today’s transition from proportional allocation to winner-take-all.
From now on, even tiny Trump pluralities (like the one we’re seeing just barely in Missouri, barring some magical Cruz precincts) will net him enormous shares of delegates. Up until today, only 5 percent of all GOP delegates were awarded on a winner-take-all basis. Between tonight and the final primaries in June, 64 percent of GOP delegates will be allocated on a winner-take-all basis. That’s an enormous catalyst for Trump’s drive to 1,237.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/march-15-primaries-ohio-florida-results-presidential-election-2016/
Obama knew by the March 22nd primary that Trump was going to be the GOP candidate! ( Two days later Kerry goes to Russia)
How The March 22 Primary Elections Went Down (five thirty eight)
Bad News For Cruz: There Just Aren’t A Lot Of “Natural Fit” States Left
Tonight’s likely result of a split verdict — Trump winning Arizona and Cruz stomping him in Utah — would seem to suggest a close fight between the two from here on out. But the problem for Cruz is the same one we’ve been talking about for over a month: There just aren’t a ton of great states for him later in the calendar. Almost every state with a high share of evangelical Protestants have already voted, and the two states with the highest shares of Mormons — Trump’s worst group by a mile — will have already voted after tonight (Idaho and Utah).
In fact, between now and June, the only states left where more than 3-in-10 residents are either evangelical Protestants or Mormons are Indiana (32 percent), Montana (32 percent), Oregon (33 percent) and West Virginia (41 percent). Together, these states account for just 146 of the 905 delegates at stake in remaining contests. And, West Virginia is probably Trump’s prototypical state, not Cruz’s. To me, these are the most damning statistics when it comes to Cruz’s bid to prevent Trump from winning 1,237 delegates
No comments:
Post a Comment